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SFC14 Day 29 Reward

June 21st, 2015, 11:37 pm

Average Rating: 5.00
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Author's Comments:

Reply SWSU-Master, June 21st, 2015, 11:37 pm

That choice probably isn't going to go over well.

User's Comments:

Reply qazox, June 21st, 2015, 11:43 pm

@SWSU-Master: Interesting challenge. I wouldn't mind seeing the real Survivor try that one.

Reply SkySurfer (Guest), June 21st, 2015, 11:59 pm

Well, while it's good to know that Liz wants to underline she's interested in the Stagg alliance she took a great risk leaving Desmond alone with her sister. If Jojo and the others remind him how much he wanted Stagg out before, this can end badly for our reward duo.

Reply anime9001, June 22nd, 2015, 12:13 am

That was a pretty interesting challenge.

And.....I'm calling it that Amelia leaves this episode.

That is all.

Edit: Oh, and Stagg should have just stayed put, because that would have given him a 66% chance of success instead of the 33% shot he gave himself by going right in the final round.

Reply Vilecheese, June 22nd, 2015, 9:16 am

@anime9001: But if Liz knew that she'd intentionally choose to not move as well, so again it all comes down to reading your opponent.

Reply anime9001, June 22nd, 2015, 10:10 am

@Vilecheese: While it does come down to reading your opponent, you should also know that it's more natural to not want to leave control in your opponent's hands. By choosing not to move it, it feels like your opponent has the advantage.

While all of this is a fairly silly analysis since it's whatever SWSU wanted to happen, I believe that it was theoretically better for Stagg not to move it, and for Liz to move it in either direction, both for statistical purposes and for how a person would react in the current situation. As for how people would react without thinking of their chances, they both reacted as expected.

Reply ChronoAlone, June 22nd, 2015, 6:38 am

Yeah, Liz might've just dug herself deeper with that.

Reply Vilecheese, June 22nd, 2015, 9:15 am

Very interesting challenge there. I'd like to see that in an ORG or something at some point.

Reply sonofhades (Guest), June 22nd, 2015, 9:49 am

Amelia eliminated herself. Hopefully that's subtle foreshadowing. Liz isn't making any friends by picking Stagg for reward, but they'll have time to hash out a plan. Here's hoping for a nifty idoling at Tribal Council.

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